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Democrat Thompson's Strong Showing In Special Election Could Signify Shift In Kansas

20 April 2017

Republicans held off a surprisingly strong Democratic challenge for a Kansas House seat in the first congressional election since President Donald Trump's November victory. "A win is a win but this should have been relatively simple and it wasn't". "When you have a governor hovering at about a 20 percent approval rating, and you supported that governor down the line, that's really hard to move away from". The new administration also has faced criticism due to allegations that members of the Trump campaign had colluded with high-ranking Russian officials. On Monday, Republican Rep. Joe Wilson of SC, who shouted "You Lie!" at President Barack Obama during a 2009 health care speech, heard chants of the same phrase at a town hall from constituents angry about health care and his voting record on violence against women. Last November, Trump carried the district by 30 points.

But that was hardly the case. Donald Trump also won the district by 27 percent. The Democratic candidate, James Thompson, was a political novice who couldn't attract big-dollar donations from Democrats around the nation.

In Cowley County, Estes received 3,179 votes or 56 percent of the vote to 2,422 votes or 43 percent for Thompson.

Even with Estes' victory, winning majority support for tough votes in Congress could become even more hard if more Republicans see a chance of danger in the 2018 elections, though Republicans have noted that special elections are unpredictable by nature.

Victoria Snitsar, a student at the University of Kansas who lives in Lawrence, supported Estes' message of fiscal conservatism and knocked on doors for him in Wichita during the campaign.

The GOP candidate, State Treasurer Ron Estes, was better known than his Democratic opponent. The DCCC congratulated Thompson for forcing Republicans to spend money in order to hold the seat.

"Estes underperformed Trump's margin by 20.3 points", wrote FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver on Twitter.

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Whichever party gets the majority of the seats in the House of Commons then becomes entitled to select the prime minister . That motion, as set out by the Fixed Term Parliament Act, will require a two thirds majority of the House of Commons.

With the Kansas race over, attention will shift to next week's free-for-all in Georgia's 6th Congressional District, left vacant when Tom Price became health and human services secretary.

In Normal Township, Democrats won seats on the board of trustees for the first time in 100 years.

The PCCC did not make a push in Kansas but liberal groups helped to boost fundraising totals there with the liberal blog Daily Kos raising more than $160,000 for Thompson during the final stretch. Both parties treated it as such and that's how the voters perceived it.

Ossoff will need to sway moderate Republicans to his side to emerge from a field of 18-candidates as the outright victor of the April 18th runoff election.

In a district with a natural double-digit advantage for Republicans, that's certainly cause for concern - but what specifically turned off voters? "That's why he's raising expectations on himself".

Republicans get some credit: They saw some potentially embarrassing danger in the Kansas race, they reacted, and they won.

"But they vote straight-line Republican", she said. The political committee has had field staffers working in the Georgia congressional district for months and is spending $250,000 on get-out-the-vote ads on African-American radio stations.